中国安全科学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (12): 125-132.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn 1003-3033.2020.12.018

• 公共安全 • 上一篇    下一篇

突发事件影响下的城市快递网络脆弱性评估

牟能冶1,2 副教授, 康秋萍1, 贾程方1   

  1. 1 西南交通大学 交通运输与物流学院,四川 成都610031;
    2 综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,四川 成都 610031
  • 收稿日期:2020-09-09 修回日期:2020-11-12 出版日期:2020-12-28 发布日期:2021-07-15
  • 作者简介:牟能冶 (1982—),男,重庆人,博士,副教授,主要从事物流系统规划、复杂网络、应急物流等方面的研究。E-mail:munengye@163.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金资助(17BGL085);成都市科技项目(2019-RK00-00105-ZF)。

Vulnerability assessment of urban express networks under influence of emergencies

MU Nengye1,2, KANG Qiuping1, JIA Chengfang1   

  1. 1 School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu Sichuan 610031,China;
    2 National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, Chengdu Sichuan 610031,China
  • Received:2020-09-09 Revised:2020-11-12 Online:2020-12-28 Published:2021-07-15

摘要: 为预防突发事件对城市快递网络结构和性能造成影响,根据邮政业突发事件特点提出随机和蓄意2种网络故障模式;以网络连通度、全局网络效率和局部网络效率作为网络脆弱性评估模型的主要指标;运用重要度评价模型确定网络节点的重要性,划分节点层级作为蓄意攻击的依据;以某民营快递企业的网络数据为例,验证模型的有效性。结果表明:城市快递网络的中心节点在遭受蓄意攻击时,全局网络脆弱性高于局部网络;转运节点在遭受蓄意攻击时全局网络和局部网络的脆弱性有一定的同步性;单个节点依次失效对网络的影响较小,节点级联失效对网络的影响较大,重要度高的节点遭受连续蓄意攻击失效会使网络迅速崩溃。

关键词: 突发事件, 快递网络, 脆弱性, 复杂网络, 节点重要度

Abstract: In order to prevent impacts of postal industry emergencies on structure and performance of urban express networks, random and deliberate network failure models were proposed according to characteristics of such emergencies. Secondly, network connectivity, global network efficiency and local network efficiency were adopted as evaluation indicators of network vulnerability. Then, importance evaluation model was used to determine importance of network nodes and to decide node hierarchy which served as basis for deliberate attacks. Finally, models were verified with network data of an express delivery company as an example. The results show that vulnerability of global network is significantly higher than that of local network when central node is deliberately attacked. Vulnerability of these two networks is synchronized in the same case for transit nodes. Moreover, failure of a single node in turn has little impact on network, but cascading failure of nodes has a greater impact, while that of nodes of high importance suffering from continuous deliberate attacks can cause network to collapse quickly

Key words: emergency, express network, vulnerability, complex network, node importance

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